As New Hampshire heads to the polls, will Indiana’s primary matter?


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INDIANAPOLIS (Feb. 9, 2016) – As New Hampshire voters head to the polls all day Tuesday, Hoosiers won’t have their chance for several months.

“In some ways, Hoosiers should be hoping for a really crazy Super Tuesday,” said Laura Albright, a political science professor at the University of Indianapolis.

Dozens of other states will have already held their caucus or primary before Indiana’s primary on May 3, meaning a majority of the delegates will already be taken, and many of the candidates competing now could potentially be gone.

“It’s pretty rare for Indiana to have a role, an important role,” said Mike Murphy, a former Republican state representative. “I think the odds are against us again this year.”

That, Murphy said, despite the fact the race appears far from over.

“It’s messy, but you have Super Tuesday and then you’ve got Florida,” Murphy said. “And I really believe for example Jeb Bush, I believe he will not still be in the race when Florida comes around unless he had a good shot of winning it.”

Analysts say, on both the Republican and Democratic ticket, you’d need a wild ride of different winners and losers. In 2008, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama were both in a heated battle for Indiana.

“If you don’t have clear front-runners, then we’re going to keep seeing this balance between some people like this candidate, some people like the other,” Albright said.

While the candidates will show some love for the Hoosier state, most would prefer it would no longer matter.

“Because you’re wasting money on the primaries that you could be saving for the general race,” Albright said.

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