Fox News poll shows Trump beating Cruz in Indiana, Sanders losing to Clinton
INDIANAPOLIS, Ind. (April 22, 2016)– A new poll conducted by Fox News was released Friday and shows Donald Trump leading Ted Cruz in the Indiana GOP primary, while Clinton is beating Sanders on the Democratic side.
The poll was conducted from April 18-21, 32016 and has a margin of error of +/- 4 percent.
Donald Trump is ahead of Ted Cruz by an eight-point margin among likely Republican voters in Indiana. Trump has 41 percent, while Cruz has 33 percent. John Kasich came in third with 16 percent.
Trump leads women voters with 36 percent. Cruz has 33 percent and Kasich has 20 percent. He is also leading with men. He receives 44 percent while Cruz gets 33 percent and Kasich gets 13 percent. The male vote is said to be Trump’s advantage.
The Fox News poll indicates voters who describe themselves as “very” conservative GOP primary voters prefer Cruz over Trump, 46 percent to 35 percent.
Among white evangelical Christians, the vote is split. Cruz has 41 percent while Trump has 39 percent. Republican voters without a college degree prefer Trump, while college graduates support Cruz one percent more than they do Trump.
When asked for a second-choice candidate, Kasich received 27 percent while Cruz received 24 percent. When first and second-choice preferences are combined, Trump has 58 percent and Cruz has 57 percent.
The poll says one in four Indiana voters may still change their mind. Kasich and Cruz supporters are more likely than Trump’s to choose another candidate.
Given a hypothetical matchup between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in the fall, 42 percent of Cruz supporters say they’d vote for a third-party candidate or not at all.
If it is Cruz vs. Clinton, 48 percent of Trump supporters would vote for a third-party candidate or not vote at all.
On the Democratic side, Clinton received the backing of 46 percent of likely Democratic primary voters, while Bernie Sanders captured 42 percent. Clinton is preferred by voters ages 45 and over, women and non-white voters.
Sanders is the pick amongst voters under age 45 by a 51-point margin. Men and voters with a college degree favor Sanders.
The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The telephone poll (landline and cellphone) was conducted April 18-21, 2016, with live interviewers among a random sample of 1,205 Indiana voters selected from a statewide voter file (plus or minus 2.5 percentage points). Results for the 602 likely Republican primary voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points.