Cold front to arrive late Sunday

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A cold front is moving southeast towards the Midwest.  Behind the front, temperatures are already beginning to drop.  Can you spot the front?

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It was crossing the Illinois/Iowa border around 6pm Sunday.

Along and ahead of the front showers will develop.  It looks like showers could arrive in the Indianapolis metro between 7:30pm and 8:00pm.

19z HRRR DMA

There is a very small amount of instability in the atmosphere, so it isn’t out of the question we could have a few thunderstorms later tonight.  It does not look like a severe weather event.  Just something to get all of you “Spring Thunderstorm Lovers” something to think about.

NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES

Indianapolis officially reached 67° Sunday afternoon coming within one degree of tying the record high.  The current record high temperature for today in Indianapolis is 68° set in 1895.  Looks like the long-standing record remains.

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WINDY DAY

Strong south-southwesterly winds were gusting for much of Sunday.  Peak wind gusts reached 50mph in many locations, including 52mph around 5pm at the Eagle Creek Airport on the west side of Indianapolis.

Wind Gusts 5 Line

Winds will continue to gust to 40mph through midnight for much of central Indiana.  After that time, winds should begin to diminish.  A few gusts will be possible again Monday afternoon, but they should top out 20-25mph.

IND 4km Wind Gust - Tomorrow 7am - 18hrs - 60mph

TRACKING NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION

Computer models continue to advertise an area of low pressure passing through the mid-Mississippi River Valley Tuesday.  Ahead of the low, temperatures should warm in to the upper 40°s.  Exact track of the low is still a little difficult to say as one computer model takes it further south, another takes it further north.  Yeah, shocking isn’t it?!

18z 4km-12km RPM Regional

Rain should begin to spread in to central Indiana through Tuesday.  Once the low passes, colder air should begin to move down the backside allowing for rain to change over to snow Tuesday night in to early Wednesday morning.  It is still a little early to be talking about how much snow, but some snow accumulation does look possible.

WINTER NEARING CLOSE

Just twenty-nine more hours to go of Meteorological Winter as Meteorological Spring kicks off March 1.  While there remains a little time in winter, we can start looking back at winter.

Winter will go in the books nearly 5° above normal.  An incredible sixty-four percent of the days (December 1 – February 28) has been above normal.  Here’s a breakdown of how many days were above normal each month.

  • December – 25
  • January – 15
  • February -16

Specifically, here’s how February will likely go in the books.

February 2016 - Monthly Almanac Temperature

LOOKING OVER NEXT SEVEN DAYS

Cooler air should return to central Indiana by midweek and hang around for a few days.  However, at this time it looks like we should see another warm-up coming for the second half of next weekend.

7 Day PM

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